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MIL-HDBK-338 15 OCTOBER 1984 TABLE OF CONTENTS PARAGRAPH PAGE 6.0 RELIABILITY SPECIFICATION, ALLOCATION AND PREDICTION (Cont'd) 6.4 RELIABILITY PREDICTION 6-25 6.4.1 INTRODUCTION AND GENERAL INFORMATION 6-25 6.4.2 MATHEMATICAL MODELS FOR RELIABILITY 6-27 PREDICTION 6.4.3 SIMILAR EQUIPMENT TECHNIQUES 6-33 6.4.4 SIMILAR COMPLEXITY TECHNIQUES 6-34 6.4.5 PREDICTION BY FUNCTION TECHNIQUE 6-36 6.4.6 PART COUNT TECHNIQUE 6-39 6.4.7 STRESS ANALYSIS TECHNIQUE 6-42 6.4.8 MODIFICATION FOR NONEXPONENTIAL FAILURE 6-47 DENSITIES (GENERAL CASE) 6.4.9 MODIFICATION TO INCLUDE NONOPERATING 6-49 FAILURE RATES 6.4.10 COMPUTERIZED RELIABILITY PREDICTION METHODS 6-51 6.4.10.1 RADC ORACLE (OPTIMIZED RELIABILITY 6-51 AND COMPONENT LIFE ESTIMATES) 6.4.10.2 SPARCS-2 (SIMULATION PROGRAM FOR 6-54 ASSESSING THE RELIABILITY OF COMPLEX SYSTEMS) 6.4.10.3 ERSION 3 RELIABILITY GOAL STATUS 6-54 6.4.10.4 SCOPE (SYSTEM FOR COMPUTING 6-55 OPERATIONAL PROBABILITY EQUATIONS) 6.4.10.5 APRDCT (APPORTIONMENT/PREDICTION) 6-55 6.4.10.6 RELIABILITY COMPUTATION FROM 6-55 RELIABILITY BLOCK DIAGRAMS 6.4.10.7 EXACT MINIMAL PATH AND MINIMAL CUT 6-56 TECHNIQUES FOR DETERMINING SYSTEM RELIABILITY 6.4.10.8 RAM - RELIABILITY ANALYSIS MODEL 6-56 6.4.10.9 BAYESIAN INTERACTIVE GRAPHICS RELIA- 6-57 BILITY ASSESSMENT PROCEDURE (BIGRAP) 6.5 STEP-BY-STEP PROCEDURE FOR PERFORMING RELIABILITY 6-58 PREDICTION AND ALLOCATION REFERENCES 6-72 APPENDIX A 6-A-75 7.0 RELIABILITY ENGINEERING DESIGN GUIDELINES 7-1 7.1 INTRODUCTION 7-1 7.2 PART SELECTION AND CONTROL 7-1 7.3 DERATING 7-4 7.3.1 DERATING OF MECHANICAL STRUCTURAL COMPONENTS 7-8 7.4 RELIABLE CIRCUIT DESIGN 7-13 7.4.1 INTRODUCTION 7-13 7.4.2 DESIGN SIMPLIFICATION 7-13 7.4.3 USE OF STANDARD COMPONENTS AND CIRCUITS 7-16 7.4.4 TRANSIENT AND OVERSTRESS PROTECTION 7-18 7.4.5 PARAMETER DEGRADATION AND ANALYSIS 7-20 7.4.6 MINIMIZING DESIGN ERRORS 7-33 7.4.7 FUNDAMENTAL DESIGN LIMITATIONS 7-37 vi

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