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MO/-KDBK-472 24 MAY 1966 TABLE OF CONTENTS Page INTRODUCTION The Need for Maintainability Prediction 1 Definition of Maintainability 1 Basic Assumptions and Interpretations 2 Elements of Maintainability Prediction Techniques 2 Summary 3 MAINTAINABILITY PREDICTION PROCEDURES PROCEDURE I 1-1 SECTION 1.0 GENERAL 1-1 1.1 Philosophy, Assumptions and Summary 1-1 1.2 Applicability l"2 1.3 Point of Application 1-2 1.4 Basic Parameters of Measure 1-2 1. 5 Information Required 1-2 1.6 Data Basis 1-3 1.7 Correlation Between Predicted and Observed Values 1-4 SECTION 2.0 ANALYTIC FOUNDATION 1-4 2.1 Structure of Time Elements in "Fix" of Malfunction 1-4 2.2 Elemental Activities 1-12 2.2.1 Assumptions Relating to Elemental Activities 1-14 2.2.2 Major Characteristics of Elemental Activities 1-14 2. 3 Synthesis of Time Distributions 1-16 2. 3.1 Modes for Synthesizing Distributions of Time 1-16 2.3.2 Cumulative Time Distributions and the Monte Carlo 1-17 Method SECTION 3.0 APPLICATION 1-18 3.1 Preliminary Procedure 1-19 3. 2 Steps of the Prediction Procedure 1-19 iv

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